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Prediction markets

15 active markets · category “Science”

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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

≤6
1%YesNo
7
4%YesNo
$31KVol. Jul 19science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

3-4"
3-4"38%
5-6"
5-6"14%4 more
$14KVol. Jul 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC82%
1.25–1.29ºC12%4 more
$28KVol. Aug 1science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest90%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest7%2 more
$61KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

425-450mm
425-450mm13%
475-500mm
475-500mm12%8 more
$12KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+99%
90-100mm1%6 more
$12KVol. Jul 31science
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman99%
John Pardon
John Pardon98%9 more
$662KVol. Jul 30science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

0
72%YesNo
1
22%YesNo
$12KVol. Jul 19science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3154%
December 31
December 3150%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

1800+95%
2000+95%4 more
$19KVol. Jul 31science
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

61%

chance

YesNo
$1.1KVol. Dec 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

10%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science